Optimistic Policy Regularization: Elite-Statistic Reward Shaping

arXiv:2603.06793v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: On-policy agents discard trajectories after each update, including rare high-return episodes. We propose Optimistic Policy Regularization (OPR), which turns those episodes into a closed-form reward bonus: we estimate an elite action prior from top-quartile episodes and add a \reviewblue{bounded transform of the log-ratio} of the prior to the policy's action distribution. OPR needs no auxiliary network, value gate, off-policy correction, or adversarial loop. It is a one-line modification of Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO)'s reward; yet, on 49 Atari games at 10M steps, $5\times$ fewer agent decisions than the 200M-frame baselines, it reaches a 148.4\% median human-normalized score (HNS; 196.9\% interquartile mean): higher scores than published PPO on $36/49$ games ($p{=}0.0014$) and a higher aggregate median than self-imitation learning, which falls well below OPR when frames and backbone are matched. We pair the method with a theory of when it works. The underlying log-ratio has an exact forward-KL interpretation; its pre-advantage placement propagates the signal through Generalized Advantage Estimation; and, under an idealized local update, its first-order effect depends on a prior-advantage alignment whose sign indicates help or harm. Since alignment varies across tasks and runs, we also study an online gating extension. On a ten-game set, it outperforms the backbone by $+17.4$ median HNS on average across seeds. Controlled experiments test temporal propagation and the tradeoffs of state conditioning and gating, supporting OPR as a simple regularizer with an analysis of where to shape.