Trajectory-Triggered Sparse Collaborative Decoding

arXiv:2610.23613v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Dense assistance methods such as speculative decoding repeatedly verify draft tokens with a target model, keeping target computation coupled to generation. We study sparse collaborative decoding, where a draft model generates most tokens and a target model is invoked only for short corrective segments. The key problem is deciding when to call the target. We show that local uncertainty is a weak trigger: entropy, negative log-likelihood, logit margin, top-$k$ mass, and velocity features give near-chance failure prediction, with AUC 0.50-0.53. In contrast, aggregate trajectory-shape features over the draft confidence path reach AUC 0.86 using a lightweight logistic predictor trained only from draft correctness labels. This induces a trigger-timing tradeoff: early calls have more leverage but weaker evidence, while later calls have stronger evidence but less ability to redirect the trajectory. Used online, learned sparse collaborative decoding improves over the best open-loop schedule by +5.3 to +20.0 accuracy points across five GSM8K draft-target pairs. On MATH-500, it gains 7.0-13.5 points when early prediction and target competence align, but loses when either is weak. On StrategyQA, it improves over open-loop by 5.0-8.3 points, showing transfer beyond arithmetics.