Traditional system identification typically involves two steps: initially, training data is processed to estimate a model of the system of interest; then, the model is used to predict outputs for new input queries. In contrast, recent in-context learning approaches learn a meta model that maps directly from training data and query inputs to outputs in a zero-shot fashion, bypassing explicit model estimation. This approach leverages a meta model trained offline, on large sets of synthetically generated data, to emulate the behavior of a system identification algorithm. In this work, we advance this meta-learning framework for system identification in three directions. First, we develop a unified probabilistic meta-identification architecture that combines a Transformer-based encoder-decoder with tailored mechanisms for handling long training sequences, enabling calibrated predictions over long horizons. Second, we show how a pre-trained meta model can act as an uncertainty-aware synthetic data generator for classical system identification, providing task-specific data that regularize parametric models when real data are scarce. Third, we systematically evaluate the framework on standard nonlinear system identification benchmarks and on a challenging out-of-distribution scenario, demonstrating competitive accuracy with state-of-the-art methods and strong generalization, including cases where input-only adaptation is sufficient to handle significant distribution shifts.
This paper addresses the grid quantization error of deep-learning (DL)-based direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation. Classification- based DOA methods discretize the continuous angular space into a grid, so that with a peak-based read-out, the accuracy and resolution are limited by the grid step and by the width of the label peak. To address this issue, we propose a sigmoid label that encodes the sources' DOAs as the sum of angle-shifted monotonic sigmoid functions. Differentiating the output of a CNN-Transformer network trained with the sigmoid label produces sharp spectral peaks at the source DOAs. Combined with a moderately refined grid step of 0.25 degrees, the CNN-Transformer with the proposed sigmoid label attains sub-degree accuracy and a 1-degree resolution, breaking the limit of the grid quantization error. Under the unified CNN-Transformer backbone, we compare the proposed Sigmoid label with the Gaussian label, the 0-1 hard label, and the binary cross-entropy (BCE) baseline. Numerical results demonstrate that the Sigmoid label attains the highest accuracy and superior resolution compared to other labels.
在现实世界的交通网络中,自动驾驶车辆(AV)的集体路径选择可能对人类驾驶车辆(HDV)产生外部性,因为有利于 AV 的路径可能会增加其他道路使用者的出行时间。为解决这一问题,我们在 AV 以自身出行时间为导向的自利奖励中引入了一个社会性分量,即边际成本。边际成本通过比较其他道路使用者的实际出行时间与移除该 AV 的反事实仿真中的出行时间,衡量该 AV 对他们的影响。我们使用多智能体强化学习(MARL)研究混合自动驾驶交通环境中的 AV 路径选择,其中 AV 通过与交通环境的反复交互来学习路径规划策略。在 Ingolstadt 和 Provins 真实路网中的实验表明,相较于自利的 AV 路径规划,将边际成本纳入 AV 奖励不仅能限制 HDV 出行时间的增加并缩短 AV 出行时间,还能改善系统整体表现。在 Ingolstadt,当 AV 占比为 40\% 时,自利路径规划使其他车辆的出行时间增加了 1.7\%;引入社会性奖励后,这一增幅降至 1.1\%。值得注意的是,采取顾及他人的行为不仅改善了系统整体表现,也使 AV 自身受益。这一效果在所测试的不同城市、渗透率和重复实验中均保持一致;然而,当奖励中社会性分量的权重增大时,系统却无法达到预期表现。为在混合自动驾驶交通中实现更具可扩展性的社会性 AV 路径规划,我们仅计算那些路径选择对交通系统影响最大的 AV 的边际成本。这减少了反事实仿真的次数,并以显著更低的计算成本实现了相近的表现。我们的结果表明,为了所有交通参与者的利益,AV 路径规划应超越自利奖励,在其目标中纳入社会性分量。
Teams of AI agents barely outperform solo agents but cost up to 5.1x more, according to Vals AI. Only one out of four tests with GPT-6 Sol and Claude Opus 5.5 showed a measurable gain. Anthropic's own data backs this up: beyond ten agents, quality plateaus while token costs keep climbing. The article AI agent teams waste massive tokens for barely measurable quality gains, research finds appeared first on The Decoder .
Epoch AI and Anthropic independently found the same thing: current AI models like GPT-5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 can run experiments but lack scientific self-criticism and genuine creative thinking. At best, Sol reached 15 percent of the human reference score, and even that came from methods researchers already knew. The models' biggest weakness is still their inability to critically question their own results. The article AI agents overstate their results and remain far from autonomous research, study finds appeared first on The Decoder .
Sakana AI’s TMLR paper introduces Multi-Layered Review, a 3-agent Claude-based reviewer, and a 1,164-error Contradiction Benchmark. MLR caught 73.43% of core-claim errors, versus 14.81% for the best prior system. The post Sakana AI’s LLM Peer Review System Catches 73% of Core-Claim Errors appeared first on MarkTechPost .
Learning and problem solving depend critically on the structure of internal representations. While many modern data-driven artificial systems achieve strong predictive performance, their learned representations often lack explicit structure for expressing abstraction, invariance, and task-relevant regularities. We propose a minimal structural framework in which representational operations relevant to problem solving, such as context formation, invariance recognition, representative selection, abstraction, and procedural reuse, are made explicit. The central notion is that of a \emph{context}, formalized as a partition of a subset of an underlying state space, which fixes the distinctions, granularity, and form in which a problem can be posed. Within this setting, invariance recognition and representative selection are treated as fundamental representational operations. The framework is realized as a Knowledge Space composed of two coupled graph structures: a Concept Graph that hosts constructed and refined concepts, and a Procedure Graph that encodes typed operations over representations. Together, these structures provide a minimal cognitive-representational algebra for operating on representations without assuming sophisticated inference, learning, control, perception, or motor mechanisms. Using simple illustrative examples and a finite weak-solver demonstration, we show that appropriate representational organization can simplify the form and scope of admissible regularities, even when problem solving is carried out by a fixed and limited solver. The contribution of the paper is structural rather than algorithmic: it identifies representational prerequisites for abstraction, invariance, and procedural reuse in problem solving, and states explicit success and failure conditions for the weak-solver setting.